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 Payrolls Report For May 2024

US Payrolls Rose by 272,000 in May, smashing Estimates of 180,000

The wage gain is also strong, at 0.4%, double the pace of the average hourly earnings advance of the previous month.

The unemployment rate is up, though, that’s as the labor force participation rate fell — unfortunate news for the Fed.

  • May nonfarm payrolls: +272K vs. 182K expected and 165K prior (revised from +175K).
  • Unemployment rate: 4.0% vs. 3.9% expected and 3.9% prior.
  • Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% in May, accelerating from 0.2% in April and topping the 0.3% consensus. Y/Y, average hourly earnings increased 4.1%, compared with the +3.9% consensus and +4.0% in the prior month (revised from +3.9%).
  • Futures are down 0.4% and the 10 Year treasury yield has increased 13 points to 4.43%
Categories
Market Outlook

Payrolls Report For March 2024

The much-awaited payrolls report is out

Strong numbers, up 303,000 much higher than consensus estimates of 212,000

Wage growth, 0.03 MoM, +4.1% annual, as estimated.

The unemployment rate inched down to 3.8% from 3.9%. Economists, on average, had expected the jobless rate to hold steady at 3.9%. Labor force participation rate of 62.7% vs. 62.6% consensus and 62.5% prior. This is a good sign.

Treasuries yields are at 4.37% up 7 basis points – expectations of rate cuts fade.

S&P Futures up 0.4%

Nasdaq Composite up 0.49%

The past few days there was a lot of consternation in the market, with reports about Fed cuts delayed or as one Fed Gov, Neal Kashkari suggested yesterday

The markets had fallen the last three days and looks stable at least for now.