Fountainheadinvesting

Categories
Pharmaceuticals Stocks

Galapagos Faces Uncertain Future Amidst CAR-T Therapy Pivot

Galapagos (GLPG) $27 pivots to CAR-T therapy, divesting Jyseleca; faces clinical, market risks amidst investor skepticism. Divestiture of its Jyseleca business reflects a significant shift in its business strategy. There are dissenting opinions on whether this was a good move.

Revenue up 9% YOY; operating losses reduced; strong cash reserve at $4.2B; 

  • Negative enterprise value and underperforming stock; high short interest and bearish investor sentiment.
  • A lot of uncertainties in CAR-T strategy, competitive landscape, and market skepticism. The CAR-T therapy landscape is intensely competitive, and the success of Galapagos’ key candidates, GLPG5101 and GLPG5201, is imperative.
    • Pipeline and R&D Success Rate: Concentrating on CAR-T therapies, particularly GLPG5101 and GLPG5201, presents significant risks. Nevertheless, the EUPLAGIA-1 study’s preliminary data reveals encouraging results. In the study, 75% of CLL patients (12 out of 16) who received GLPG5101 achieved Complete Response with no report of serious adverse effects. In contrast, the GLPG5201 treatment group faced more severe outcomes, with 2 out of 14 patients encountering fatal (Grade 5) events, and a few others experiencing life-threatening or disabling (Grade 4) complications.

This is from a biotech analyst, he’s bearish but a couple of other biotech specialists were bullish in 2023, but haven’t published any updates.

Wall Street has a hold rating.