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Cybersecurity

Cybersecurity Sector Outlook for 2024: Strong Buy Recommendations for Key Players

Morgan too recommends cybersecurity as an important sector for 2024. 

I had made buy recommendations for FTNT and PANW in the last few days and Morgan’s price targets of $77 and $375 are very similar to mine, indicating there is still considerable upside left. 

https://seekingalpha.com/news/4053959-palo-alto-on-top-at-morgan-stanley-world-preps-for-cyberattacks

Of the others in the article. I like these stories.

Crowdstrike – CRWD $280 – The best player in endpoint security, first recommended in Sep 2023 at a price of $165. Given the run up, I was hesitant to add more or recommend at this price. 

It’s growing at 33%, as fast as Sentinel One, (S) which is 1/4 its size, so clearly the growth momentum is still there. Wells Fargo has a $315 Price Target, and longer term the TAM (Total Addressable Market) is massive and growing over 25% per year.

It has gone up around $40 (16%)  from the beginning of the year, Buy on Declines.

Sentinel One (S) Cyber Security, $24, BUY Price Target – $30. 

Long term Over 20%. Small Company, Volatile

Sentinel is one the fastest growers in cyber security with 100% growth last year,  and expected growth of 35  to 40 % for the next three years. Sentinel’s valuation should grow on its transition to profitability and free cash flow generation – there have significant improvements in margins. For now, one needs to be prepared for the volatility that comes with just $800Mn revenue and a $7Bn market cap. Given the depth of its products and scope for improvements this is worth investing in.

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Cybersecurity

Fortinet: A Strong Buy in the Cybersecurity Sector

Fortinet: (FTNT) Cybersecurity $61-$61.50 BUY, One year target $75. Long Term 20% return 3-4 years. 

Market leader in the growing cybersecurity industry, increasing revenues at 19% and earnings at 22%, which makes it a good bargain at 34x forward earnings and 7x forward sales. Besides, it is GAAP profitable with terrific operating margins, which always carries a premium.

Cybersecurity is a growing industry due to increasing AI advancements and vulnerability to threats, with several tailwinds. Fortinet has already recovered its 25% second-quarter, post-earnings price drop due to lower revenue growth guidance, which was mostly due to indigestion from heady pandemic growth. It should resume high growth after a few quarters.