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Palantir (PLTR) Earnings Beat Expectations: A Strong Quarter Amidst Stock Decline

Palantir (PLTR) Post Market down 6% but solid earnings and revenue beat and improved guidance.

Rev – $634Mn up 21% beats $615Mn consensus

Adjusted Operating income $226Mn beats forecast of $196-$200Mn

For the full year, Palantir lifted its revenue guidance to between $2.677 billion and $2.689 billion, above the previous range of $2.652 billion to $2.668 billion

Adjusted EPS – $0.08 per share in line with estimates

Palantir PLTR 8.06% followed up its “bombastic” December quarter with even better results for the March quarter as the data analytics software company continued to gain traction with its artificial intelligence tools in particular with U.S. commercial customers.

Nonetheless, the stock is losing ground following the announcement. Palantir shares, which rallied 8.1% in Monday’s regular session, was off more than 7% in late trading, leaving the stock up slightly from Friday’s close. The stock was up 47% this year as of Monday’s closing bell.

For the March quarter, Palantir posted revenue of $634 million, up 21% from a year ago, and ahead of both the company’s guidance range of $612 million to $616 million and Wall Street’s consensus of $615 million as tracked by FactSet.

Adjusted operating income was $226 million, well ahead of Palantir’s forecast of $196 million to $200 million. Adjusted profit was 8 cents a share, in line with Street estimates. Under generally accepted accounting principles, the company earned 4 cents a share.

Palantir gained impressive traction with U.S. commercial customers. That segment of the business grew 40% from a year ago and 14% sequentially to $150 million. Overall, commercial business was $299 million, up 27% and ahead of consensus at $292 million. Palantir said that the U.S. commercial business grew 69% year over year if you back out the contribution from customers where Palantir had made strategic investments a few years ago in a now-suspended program tied to SPAC-related IPOs.

Palantir said “remaining deal value” for U.S. commercial customers grew 74% from a year earlier and 14% sequentially. The total number of signed deals in the quarter increased 52% year over year for the quarter overall, including a 94% increase in U.S. commercial deals, Palantir reported.

Meanwhile, government segment revenue was $335 million, up 16% from a year ago, ahead of consensus at $322 million, and an acceleration from 11% growth in the December quarter.

“America is adopting technology and especially AI in a way no other part of the world is,” CEO Alex Karp said in an interview with Barron’s. “We are the only company providing the right infrastructure to make LLMs [large language models] actually valuable,” noting that the company is adopting a tagline of “beyond chat” for its AI business.

“We have a vibrancy of our tech and corporate scene that no one else has,” he said. “And as important as it is for Palantir, it’s going to change the GDP trajectory of America.” In the long run, he said the strongest players in AI will be in the U.S. and Middle East, with Europe “closing its eyes and hoping the nightmare will end.”

Palantir also provided strong guidance. For the June quarter, the company sees revenue of between $649 million and $653 million, ahead of consensus at $643 million, with adjusted operating income of between $209 million and $213 million, above the Street at $201 million.

For the full year, Palantir lifted its revenue guidance to between $2.677 billion and $2.689 billion, above the previous range of $2.652 billion to $2.668 billion. The company now sees U.S. commercial business for the year of above $661 million, up at least 45%; the previous guidance had called for 40% growth in that segment. Palantir also boosted its adjusted operating income guidance to between $868 million and $880 million from a previous forecast of $834 million to $850 million.

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Finance/banking

JPMorgan Q1 2024 Earnings: Steady Earnings With Higher Loss Provisions

Earnings Season Q1-2024 Big Banks

JP Morgan (JPM)

JPMorgan Chase non-GAAP EPS of $4.63 beats by $0.50, revenue of $41.93B (Up 9.5% YoY) beats by $240M

Q1 -24 Net Interest Income, NII declined 4% sequentially as expected, due to deposit margin compression.

Full Year Net Interest Income, NII guidance is unchanged at $90Bn

Adjusted expenses guidance is $1Bn higher at $91Bn V $90Bn for the year.

The bank card services net charge-off rate is projected to be less than 3.50% vs. its previous guidance of 3.50% – this is a relief, but JPM has a tendency to over provide, so not much of a surprise. Similarly, overall Provision for credit losses was lower at $1.88B, vs. consensus of $2.74B and compared with $2.76B in Q4 and $2.28B in Q1 2023. 

The stock is down 2% premarket, the higher adjusted expense guidance seems to be the main culprit.

Categories
Finance/banking

Citi Q1 2024 Beats Earnings Estimates

Earnings Season Q1-2024 Big Banks

*Citigroup (NYSE:C): $61.50*

Beats on both earnings and revenues —Q1 GAAP EPS of $1.58 beats by $0.41.

Revenue of $21.1B (-1.6% Y/Y) beats by $700M.

Citi had higher credit card losses but is providing a lower allowance for Q2. – cost of credit was approximately $2.4 billion in the first quarter 2024, compared to $2.0 billion in the prior-year period, primarily driven by higher card net credit losses, partially offset by a lower allowance for credit losses build.

The stock is up 1.5% pre-market.

Wells Fargo Q1 2024 Earnings: A Mixed Bag Amidst Stable Credit Quality

Earnings Season Q1-2024 Big Banks

There were no major surprises from the three big banks, JOM, Citi, and Wells Fargo. Credit loss provisions were in line, slightly lower, so that’s a positive, but nothing consequential on earnings/revenue.

Wells Fargo (WFC) $56.50

Wells Fargo Q1 earnings topped Wall Street’s consensus and credit quality remained healthy. Its provision for credit losses came in significantly below the analyst estimate.

Guidance for Q2 remained the same – it still expects net interest income to decline 7%-9% from 2023’s $52.4B. Its 2024 guidance for noninterest expense at ~$52.6B also remained unchanged.

Q1 EPS of $1.20 vs. $0.86 in Q4 2023 and $1.23 in Q1 2023. Excluding $284M, or $0.06 per share, of additional expense for its FDIC special assessment, Q1 2024 earnings would have been $1.26 per share, topping the $1.09 average analyst estimate.

Total revenue of $20.9B, beating the $20.2B consensus, increased from $20.5B in the previous quarter and $20.7B a year ago.

Provision for credit losses was $938M, vs. the $1.34B consensus, falling from $1.28B in Q4 and $1.21B in Q1 2023.

Net interest income of $12.2B, lagging the $12.3B Visible Alpha estimate, dropped from $12.8B in the prior quarter and $13.3B a year ago.

Net loan charge-off, as a percentage of average total loans, was 0.50% vs. 0.53% in Q4 and 0.26% in Q1 2023.

Lower credit losses and provisioning are positive, there’s nothing to write home about on revenue and EPS, which remain tepid.