Toast (TOST) $23
Positives
Focused on restaurants – therefore scale in that segment helps in a commodity market, where they can compete on price.
One Stop Shop for restaurants, provides several financial/accounting/CRM/Marketing tools besides payment processing, reducing the need to go to several vendors. These have a strong attach rate and will be a key growth catalyst.
Non-GAAP profits with operating margins improving, hope to be GAAP profitable by 2025.
Good growth prospects – 23-25% revenue growth, priced at 2.5x sales, reasonable.
Negatives
Commodity, crowded business with a large number of competitors, little product differentiation, many compete on price alone.
Will find it difficult to perform outside its niche.
The stock is already up more than 60% from its low of $14, so expect some pullback.
This should be worth looking at $18-$20, I think the appreciation from here may be limited